I believe despite the size difference, the matchup will still heavily be in Pacquiao’s favour (provided he hasn’t lost a step or any focus since being elected to Congress) simply because of his overwhelming advantage in hand and foot speed. Margarito is the plodding type, which plays right into the Filipino buzzsaw’s hands. As long as Pacquiao can avoid being tagged by a big shot (he proved against Cotto he could take a few hits), he’ll be able to slide in and out of range and blast Margacheato into a beehive. If he couldn’t take Shane Mosley’s speed (and telegraphed overhand right), there’s no reason to think he could manage Pacquiao’s.
However in contrary, Margarito will have great success in this fight if he’s able to control distance. Manny because of his 67” reach is at a significant disadvantage in fighting on the outside and IF Margarito is successful in keeping him moving backwards rather than side to side this is going to be a huge problem for Roach. If Manny is able to successfully and consistently use lateral movement without lunging then you’ll see him land a lot of scoring shots to the body early and after about round 7 you’ll see him shift to the head and finish strong. That’s generally the game plan for Roach. You spend a number of rounds measuring distance and gauging your opponents speed and power. Once you have those internal calculations down you can mix up your punches.
This match will not be a work of art for either man because of the styles. You’re going to see Manny moving more than you’re used to and you’re going to see Tony missing badly at times because of it.
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